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Bitcoin is left stranded as Fed projections flip to 54% chance of rate hikes this year
Bitcoin’s rate-cut cushion has vanished as futures now price a rising chance that the Fed’s next move is higher.
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Hello, Thursday.
Bitcoin is losing the policy backdrop that helped steady risk assets, and that shift matters beyond price. With futures now implying a 54% chance the Fed’s next move is a hike, the easy rate-cut narrative has broken, leaving crypto more exposed to macro surprises even as some inflation signals begin to soften.
That tension is reshaping the market’s plumbing. CME is introducing a regulated way to trade Bitcoin volatility itself, giving institutions a cleaner hedge as uncertainty rises. At the same time, BofA says tariff refunds could cool inflation and eventually restore a macro tailwind, while Glassnode’s quantum-risk findings put fresh attention on exchange custody as a structural vulnerability.
The global crypto market cap is $2.57 trillion, with a 24-hour volume of $78.51 billion. The price of Bitcoin is $77,127.76, and BTC market dominance is 60.0%. The price of Ethereum is $2,128.27, and ETH market dominance is 10.0%. The best-performing sector is Derivatives, which gained 14%. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index is currently Extreme Fear (29).
📰 Top News
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Bitcoin is left stranded as Fed projections flip to 54% chance of rate hikes this year
Bitcoin’s rate-cut cushion has vanished as futures now price a rising chance that the Fed’s next move is higher.
CME is launching a VIX style fear trade to Bitcoin. Now comes the hard part
CME’s BVI contract turns Bitcoin implied volatility into a regulated futures trade, giving institutions a way to hedge or bet on BTC turbulence without taking a direct price view.
Cardano’s May 29 hard fork vote brings ADA’s DeFi weakness into view
Cardano’s May 29 mainnet vote will test whether cheaper Plutus scripts, ZK-ready cryptography, and governance upgrades can attract developers and strengthen ADA activity.
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