| GM. This is Milk Road, the crypto newsletter that removes the sugar coating and replaces it with chili flakes. | Here’s a taste of this week’s menu: | 🔥 Crypto x AI isn't dead. It’s quietly evolving. 🥵 4yr crypto cycle? Nah. Try a 10yr cycle, son! 🌶️ Meta has an invisible lead in AI that everyone’s missing.
| Arc is a new Layer-1 blockchain designed to support real-world economic activity and it’s now live in testnet. Dive into Arc and start experimenting. | | HOT TAKES OF THE WEEK 🔥 | | | | | Crypto x AI isn't dead. It’s quietly evolving. 🤫 | Coinbase Global Head of Investment Research & CFA, David Duong, argues that AI x crypto is evolving into a tool for micro-commerce. | Using protocols like Coinbase's x402, AI agents can now handle micro-payments and micro-settlements onchain. | (Giving birth to a new form of agentic payments and enabling global payment distribution for creators & devs in a way traditional banking never could.) | 🎙️ Listen to the full Milk Road Daily episode here. |
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| | | | | The 4yr cycle is dead. Long live the 10yr cycle! 💀 | Bitwise’s Matt Hougan believes the Bitcoin four-year cycle is a "dead man walking". | What will replace it? | A "10-year grind higher" cycle fueled by institutional demand and regulatory concrete (making the old boom-bust rhythm irrelevant). | 🎙️ Listen to the full Milk Road Daily episode here. |
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| | | | | Meta has an invisible lead in AI that everyone’s missing 🏃♂️➡️ | While the market often overlooks Meta as an AI play, Kris Patel argues they are actually best-positioned to win. | Why? Because they are already converting AI spend into tangible revenue. | By using AI to hyper-target ads and automate content creation for 3.5B users, they are generating real-time ROI while other companies are building vaporware. | 🎙️ Listen to the full Milk Road AI episode here. |
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| | | | Circle is already one of the biggest names in crypto… | But most people still haven’t heard much about Arc, the Layer-1 blockchain built by Circle. | Arc is a new Layer-1 blockchain that’s now officially live on testnet. | It’s built to bring real-world economic activity onchain. And with full Circle platform integration at its core (e.g., USDC, EURC, USYC), it’s positioned to do exactly that. | Here’s what stands out: | Low and predictable gas fees paid in stablecoins Instant settlement & deterministic finality Native FX & Privacy infrastructure
| Developers and institutions have already started testing on Arc. Now it’s your turn. | Dive into Arc and start experimenting. |
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| | HOT TAKES OF THE WEEK (P2) 🔥 | | | | | Markets will peak in Q1 of 2026 👀 | Fundstrat’s head of technical strategy, Mark Newton, says that despite a generally positive 2026 outlook, a midterm election year sell-off is still on the cards. | He expects markets to peak in late Q1 or early Q2, suffer through a negative August-to-October period, and only then begin a sustained rally into 2027 and 2028. | 🎙️ Listen to the full Milk Road Macro episode here. |
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| | | | | We were sold a lie 🤬 | Milk Road co-owner and Head Of Research, Kyle Reidhead, argues that we (the industry) were sold a lie when it came to institutional entry into crypto throughout 2025. | While big players bought Bitcoin ETFs and public market proxies like Coinbase, literally zero dollars of traditional finance money flowed into altcoins or DeFi in 2025. | 🎙️ Listen to the full Milk Road Daily episode here. |
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| | | | | | PRO INSIGHT OF THE WEEK 🔮 | Head Macro Economist at Swissblock, Henrik Zeberg, recently published an article stating: | “I’m confident that we are witnessing a textbook late-cycle finale. Enjoy the sugar high if you’re trading it, but don’t for a second mistake it for a new secular bull.” | So naturally, our macro writer, Tomas, was pinged in our Discord for a reaction. | Tomas’ take? | “As I've outlined in the PRO reports and newsletters, the leading segments of the labor market (temporary help and overtime hours) are showing ‘early cycle’ signs, having ‘troughed’ in 2024.” | “People have quickly forgotten that we had an ‘official bear market’ (20%+ drawdown) in both S&P 500 and Nasdaq earlier this year.” | “This was most likely to have been the ‘end of cycle drawdown’ in my opinion. It's rare that SPX falls into a bear market and then quickly falls into another bear market within 18 months (it has happened, but not since the 70s/early 80s).” | “You can’t just ignore this period of time because it happened quickly or it doesn’t fit your narrative.” | “In the end, nobody really knows what will happen - it's all just a weighting of probabilities. I see the probabilities as pointing to a good year in 2026.” | P.S. Want direct access to our PRO analyst team, so you can get your burning questions answered in real-time and make the right moves? | 👉 Go PRO to unlock access! |
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| | BITE-SIZED COOKIES FOR THE ROAD 🍪 | A $300M ARR energy giant is launching a crypto token. It’s called $ENERGY and we broke down everything you need to know in the article linked above.* | Here’s hoping for an ‘average’ Q1: Bitcoin has an average return of 47.6% in the first quarter of the year. | Stay safe out there folks: Hundreds of crypto wallets are being drained across various EVM chains, according to ZachXBT. | 2026’s macro outlook: Making the case for a big year, through a macro lens. | Arc is now live on testnet. If you’re looking to build on Circle’s layer 1, now’s your chance to test it out.* | *this is sponsored content. | | RATE TODAY’S EDITION | What'd you think of today's edition? | |
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| | MILKY MEMES OF THE WEEK 🤣 | | | |
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